NFL Bargain Bets: Week 1

Phi (-3) @ GB

Let's face it, when Donovan McNabb was healthy at the beginning of last season, he was lights out. He had 18 TD's in only 9 games, not to mention his 3 rushing TD's. In the third game last season in Philadelphia, the Eagles pummeled the Packers 31-9 when McNabb threw for two scores and ran for another two. What has changed? Not much. The game is in GB, but it certainly is not the type of weather within which Favre thrives. In last year's game, Favre did not throw any TD's, but did have two interceptions. Yes, the GB defense has improved. However, the offense has not shown much punch in the pre-season, especially on the ground with rookie Brandon Jackson toting the rock. This will be another game that Favre will be asked to win against a team that will be bringing the heat. And, once again he will be winging the ball into a fleet-footed Philly defense that should grab at least a couple of picks. This one's a gimme. They don't get much easier. I love week #1.

STL (Even) vs Car

It must be Christmas! The Rams at home against Carolina and not giving any points. Please! This must be a remnant of last year's game where, in Carolina, the Panthers destroyed the Rams 15-0 in week 11. That day the Panthers sacked Bulger 7 times and held the Rams to 80 net yards passing. But that was a lifetime ago. The Rams have since added more weapons to the arsenal (WR Drew Bennett and TE Randy McMichael), solidfied their offensive line, and turned over the play calling to the right guy (head coach Linehan fired himself as the play caller after this game). On the other hand, the Panthers are still undecided on their primary running back, are in the process of trying to move to a new zone blocking scheme, and have an aging QB and star receiver. In last year's game the Panthers rushed for over 200 yards and controlled time of possession by almost 2:1. The stars were aligned that day. Not this year!

Min (-3) vs Atl

This is an easy one to break down. Only one part of the offensive side of the ball will be successful in this game, and that is Minnesota's run game. With Steve Hutchinson and Bryant McKinnie both healthy and creating huge holes on the left side of the line, it does not matter whether the Vikings give the ball to Chester Taylor or Adrian Peterson. Hell, even I could make 5 yards a pop with those holes. Expect to see a Viking run game this year that is more reminiscent of the Chiefs the past couple of years, than what you are used to from Minnesota. As for the Falcons, they are in huge trouble. Last year's #1 running team has a new offense, new blocking scheme, new head coach, and a new QB that can't throw the ball. Oh, and they are playing a team that only gave up an avg. of 62 rushing yards a game last year. Michael Vick is not the only one that will be associated with "Bad News" this year . . . .