Week 17 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 17 PSYCHO aWARD: The Benchwarmers

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

Right now, the Cleveland Browns are hoping that they get the Indianapolis Colts on their schedule next year. Had the Colts played their starters the entire game against the Titans, the Browns most likely would be headed to San Diego. The best quote of the night during the game was: "after watching Jim Sorgi's performance, the Colt's need to give Manning another raise". After tonight, it was made real obvious that Jim Sorgi is very fortunate to be collecting a pay check. Browns' fans and those that took the Titans -6.5 also want to know why coach Dungy didn't use his last time out at the end of the game to force the Titans to run a 4th down play.

It wasn't just the Colts that felt the need to rest their starters for the playoffs and get their benchwarmers some action. The Buccaneers, Jaguars, Steelers, Seahawks, and Cowboys all lost games against teams they probably would have beaten if the game actually meant something. This is just something to keep in the back of your mind when picking games next year in week 17.

Week 16 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 16 PSYCHO aWARD: Pretenders NOT Contenders

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.
Tip your caps off to the spoiler teams this weekend. Both the Cincinnati Bengals and Philadelphia Eagles knocked off playoff contenders this weekend. The Cleveland Browns who last made the playoffs in 2002 blew a golden opportunity to make the playoffs this year. Simply beat the 5-9 Bengals and they were in. However, four costly turnovers by Derek Anderson did the Browns in. Now the Tennessee Titans (9-6) can claim the AFC's final playoff berth by beating second stringers from Indianapolis in Week 17. In the NFC, the New Orleans Saints blew an opportunity to be the last wild card spot. The Saints held the tiebreaker between the Redskins and Vikings and now need losses from both teams next weekend and a win at Chicago.

Meanwhile, the Vikings find themselves in the same situation as the Browns. They need HELP. The Redskins need to lose to the Cowboys second stringers and the Vikings need a win at Denver.

2008 Pro Bowl Snubs

The AFC and NFC Pro Bowl roster has been selected for 2008. You can find the official list of Pro Bowl players on NFL.com. The players were selected by combined voting from fans, players and coaches. We at PylonPicks.com felt that injustice has been served.

Below are some deserving players that were left off of the Pro Bowl roster.
First, we will start off with the NFC.

WR - Marques Colston (New Orleans Saints)
1092 receiving yards which is 4th in NFC with 9 TD's, also 4th in NFC.
Donald Driver's only real highlight of 2007 was catching the Favre pass that allowed Brett to become the career leader in yards passing. As a matter of fact, Greg Jennings, Driver's teammate, was probably more deserving as he had 12 TD's and 878 yards receiving.

CB - Charles Woodson (Green Bay Packers)
It is Woodson not Al Harris that is the difference maker in the Packers secondary. You can just take a look at the Cowboys/Packers game for evidence.

OLB - Ernie Simms (Detroit Lions)
Ernie isn't really mentioned anywhere on people's snub lists. I feel he got totally snubbed, just look at his statistics. He made 122 tackles, had 3 forced fumbles and 1 interception.

K Mason Crosby (Green Bay Packers)
Nick Folk did make the same 50 yard field goal twice in the Buffalo game. This probably solidified his Pro Bowl appearance but we feel Mason Crosby had an even better season with 29 made Field Goals, 3 being 50+ and 43 PAT.

Now for the AFC.

RB - Jamal Lewis (Cleveland Browns)
Jamal Lewis had 1084 rushing yards (3rd in AFC) and 9 rushing TD's along with 205 receiving yards and 2 TD's. Lewis's statistics are truely impressive considering he is sharing the ball with the like of Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow (another Pro Bowl snub). Lewis better be a lock for Comeback Player Of The Year.

TE - Kellen Winslow (Cleveland Browns)
We are sticking with the Browns here for a moment as they probably have the most Pro Bowl snubs worth mentioning. Winslow had 71 receptions, was tied for first in the AFC with 971 receiving yards in AFC and had 5 TD receptions.

T - Joe Thomas (Cleveland Browns)
You can't have all these playmakers without a solid offensive line. I think Ravens' Jonathan Ogden was not as deserving as Thomas. Ogden didn't even play in all his games this year (only 9) and the Ravens lost to the Dolphins, enough said.

DE - Mario Williams (Houston Texans)
We are finally onto a player not on the Browns. Mario Williams has totally convinced many critics that he should have been the #1 draft pick. Williams posted 13 sacks, 53 tackles, and had 2 forced fumbled.

Well there you go. There is plenty to debate on. It will be interesting to watch teams like Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans in week 16 to see if they use non Pro Bowl representation as a motivation tool.

Week 15 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 15 PSYCHO aWARD: Fantasy Football Duds

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.
It is playoff time for many fantasy football leagues and for those of you who made the playoffs, today may have been one of the most frustrating days ever. Some of the most consistent scorers all year for you had their worst performances this week and let you down. Here is your Mitchell Report of the top playmakers that did absolutely nothing for your fantasy football team this weekend.

Fantasy Dud Game Notes
Tom Brady 140 Yards Passing, 1 INT
Tony Romo 22.2 QB rating, 214 yards pass, 3 INT's
Joseph Addai 15 rushes for 44 yards, 0 TD's
Terrell Owens 2 catches 37 yards, 0 TD's
Braylon Edwards 4 catches 64 yards, 0 TD's
Randy Moss 5 catches 79 yards, 0 TD's
Antonio Gates 1 catch for 8 yards, 0 TD's

An official message has been sent to Jessica Simpson to please stay away from Texas Stadium. For those of you playing against Brian Westbrook, you gotta love him intentionally falling down at the 1 yard line and not scoring a TD. A special shout out goes to Norv Turner for pulling LT and Rivers after the 2nd quarter in what could have been LT's biggest game ever.

Week 13 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 13 PSYCHO aWARD: New Orleans Saints Offensive Coordinator

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There was simply one play this week that gets the vote for the DUMBEST call of the year and is right up there for the worst play calls of all time. My only reaction at the moment the play occurred was "What was that?!!" The Saints were at midfield with a 3 point lead and instead of just trying to run the ball and chew up some more clock, they decided to run a reverse. Drew Brees handed the ball off to Reggie Bush and well Bush tossed the ball right on the turf. The Buccaneers recovered and this batched play cost the Saints the game and maybe their season as the Bucs rambled down the field and scored the game winning touchdown. (Check Out Highlights)

Week 11 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 11 PSYCHO aWARD: Off the Upright and GOOD

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 11 that ranged from the Bills secondary getting torched by Moss to the Redskins secondary getting torched by Owens, but the unanimous winner goes to the referee's reversal. In one of the most bizarre plays you will ever witness, Phil Dawson's game tying 51 yard field goal hit the upright, bounced off the crossbar and then fell back into the end zone. Ravens fans began exiting the stadium and Ravens players headed to the locker room thinking they had won the game. But then the improbable occurred, the referees discussed it and decided that the football did pass through the upright and the kick was actually good. (Click here to witness).

Week 10 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 10 PSYCHO aWARD: Baltimore Ravens Offense

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 10 that ranged from the referees reversing a Colts 1st down at the end of the game to the Saints losing to the winless Rams, but the unanimous winner goes to the Baltimore Ravens offense. It is offensive and we are very tired of hearing about how Brian Billick was once an offensive genius. Steve McNair is washed up and to think that no one on the Ravens coaching staff can see this is amazing. McNair passed for only 128 yards, lost two fumbles and threw an interception against the 31st ranked defense! (Click here for game recap).

NFL Picks for Week 10

Picks in BOLD

CLE at PIT (-9.5)
PHI at WAS (-3)
ATL at CAR (-4)
DEN at KC (-3)
BUF at MIA (+3)
MIN at GB (-6)
STL at NO (-11.5)
JAC at TEN (-4)
CIN at BAL (-5)
DAL at NYG (+1)
DET at AZ (-1)
CHI at OAK (+3)
IND at SD (+3.5)
SF at SEA (-10)

NFL Underdog of Week 10

NFL Underdog Pick: Week 10
November 9th 2007
by Special K

Atlanta Falcons (+4) at Carolina Panthers

DeAngelo Hall will not lose his cool this week and the Atlanta Falcons will prevail. The Panthers did beat the Falcons in week 3 but the Panthers lost Jake Delhomme for the season and are still struggling to fill his shoes. David Carr is actually ruled out for Week 10 and Matt Moore might get the start this week for the Panthers. If this is the case, the Falcons defensive game plan has become very simple, just key on DeShaun Foster who had burned them for 2 td's in week 3. I am very comfortable taking the 4 points and the Falcons this week. Joey Harrington had his best game of the year against the Panthers in week 3 throwing for 361 yards and 2 touchdowns. Carolina is winless at home this year and are also 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games on grass.

NFL Bargain Bets Week 10

NFL Bargain Bets: Week 10
November 8th 2007
by Old Man Winner

This is Upset Week. I'm taking the three games (teams) getting the most points this week. I'll go even further out on a limb and predict that at least one of these teams will win outright.

Cleveland Browns +9.5 @ Pittsburg Steelers
Cleveland is on a roll and is quickly becoming an offensive juggernaut. Derek Anderson is for real (Brady who?), Braylon Edwards may be the best receiver in football, Kellen Winslow catches everything within reach, and Jamal Lewis is serviceable (4TD's last week). Pittsburgh has looked good, especially defensively, but if Anderson gets any time, he should be able to beat the Pitt secondary. I love getting points against teams coming off big Monday night wins. They often get surprised.

St. Louis Rams +11.5 @ New Orleans Saints
Yes, the Rams are winless. Yes, the Rams are horrible. Yes, the Rams have only covered the spread once this year. Yes, the Rams have no one to block for SJax or protect Bulger. Yes, NO has turned the corner and look more like last year's team than the winless one from earlier this season. Yes, the Brees to Colston connection is back. Yes, Bush is finally getting into the end zone more regularly. Yes, the Saints are playing at home in the dome. Yes, take the Rams and the points.

San Francisco 49ers +10 @ Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers have lost their last six games, but they're just not that bad. The Seahawks four wins are against teams with a combined record of 9-24. Much of the reason the spread is this high is based on the earlier game between these two teams in which Seattle trounced SF 23-3. However, that was the game that Alex Smith was knocked out early in the game and an unprepared and under skilled Trent Dilfer had to pinch hit. Vernon Davis was also out that game. The 49ers are healthier now and should find a way to cover if not win.

Week 9 PSYCHO aWARD

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 9 that ranged from the Raiders attempting a 64 yard field in the 2nd quarter of a game that no one watched to a now 1-8 team punting the ball while on the opponent's 39 yard line in overtime, but the unanimous winner goes to the San Diego Chargers defense. Where was the rush defense for the Chargers? Everyone knew who was going to get the ball yet Adrian Peterson ran for a NFL record 296 yards and scored 3 touchdowns. Not even a 109 missed field goal returned for a touchdown could spoil his day. Here is the video recap of the record setting day. (click here).

Free NFL Picks for Week 9

Picks in BOLD

CIN at BUF (+1)
SF at ATL (-3)
DEN at DET (-3)
SD at MIN (+7)
GB at KC (-2.5)
JAC at NO (-3.5)
AZ at TB (-3.5)
WAS at NYJ (+3.5)
CAR at TEN (-4)
SEA at CLE (-1)
NE at IND (+5.5)
HOU at OAK (-3)
DAL at PHI (+3)
BAL at PIT (-9)

NFL Bargain Bets Week 9

San Diego Chargers -7.5 @ Minnesota Vikings

Don't Turnerround uh oh, the Chargers are in town, uh oh! San Diego is back to their 2006 form after winning their last three games by an average of 26 points. LT is running, Gates is scoring TD's and they now have a legit WR in Chris Chambers, who scored in his first game with his new team. The Vikings, unfortunately, are also back to their last year form - trying to win with a stout run defense and rush the ball themselves. That may have been a winning formula at some point, but that was "so 50 years ago." Expect the Vikings to win the rushing battle. Expect the Chargers to win the War!


Washington Redskins -3.5 @ New York Jets

What happens when a bully you "can't take" kicks your ass? That's right, you come home and kick your little brother's ass! That's what I expect the Redskins to do to the Jets after getting thoroughly annihilated by Brady and the Pats last week 52-7 (and they were lucky to score the 7). The stars align when a team comes off a game like that and then plays a weak team that throws out a new QB for his first NFL start. And, to add insult to injury, the Jets look to be without their biggest playmaker on offense (Coles) and defense (Vilma). The Jets can't stop the run, so Portis should be able to pad his stats this weekend. The odds are also pretty good for a Redskin defensive score in this one.


Oakland Raiders -3 vs. Houston Texans

Sometimes its all about the matchups. This one just doesn't work for the Texans. They cannot run the ball (30th), so they pass. Oakland can defend the pass (3rd). Oakland can't pass, so they'll run. Houston can't stop the run (20th). Both teams have been bitten by significant injuries. Houston will be playing without their starting QB (Schaub), #1 WR (Andre Johnson), and RB (Ahman Green). If they were somewhat inept with these guys playing, we should expect them to be downright pathetic without them. This could come down to a game of kickers and SeaBass (Janikowski) has dropped his excess lbs, is healthy, and is kicking better than ever. I think the Texans get lost in the vortex known as "The Black Hole" in this one.

Week 8 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 8 PSYCHO aWARD: Brian Griese

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 8 that ranged from the Jets ineffective QB performance to let's represent the NFL a little better in London next time, but the unanimous winner goes to Brian Griese of the Chicago Bears. Griese had 4 interceptions on Sunday, 3 of which were picked off in the Lions end zone. Griese has gone from hero to goat all in a week and Bears fans are scratching their heads wondering what has happened to their championship team. Here is the video recap that all Lions fans will enjoy. (click here).

NFL Free Picks Week 8

Picks in BOLD

NYG at MIA (+9.5)
PHI at MIN (+1)
IND at CAR (+7)
CLE at STL (+3)
DET at CHI (-5)
PIT at CIN (+3.5)
OAK at TEN (-7.5)
BUF at NYJ (-3)
JAC at TB (-4)
HOU at SD (-10.5)
WAS at NE (-16.5)
NO at SF (+3)
GB at DEN (-3)

NFL Bargain Bets - Week 8

NFL Bargain Bets: Week 8
by Old Man Winner

NYG -9.5 vs. Mia (in London)
Could two teams be on faster tracks going in the opposite direction? I don't think so! The Giants are on a roll, having won their last five games by an average of 13 points against much better teams than the beleaguered Dolphins. The Fins, during that same stretch, have lost every game, by an average of 13 points, to mostly subpar teams (exception: NE). Miami has lost almost their entire secondary due to injury (at some positions they are playing 3rd & 4th stringers), not to mention that they will likely be without Zach Thomas, arguably the heart and soul of their defense. On offense, they only have two playmakers - Ronnie Brown and Chris Chambers. Oh, wait a minute, Brown went down with a season-ending injury last week and Chambers was traded to SD. That only leaves household names such as Jesse Chatman, Cleo Lemon and Derek Hagans - exactly. Jason Taylor was quoted this week saying, "we can't win in this country, maybe we can win in another". Uh . . . no! I'll be surprised if 20 points is enough in this one. Their only hope is that the Giants will not want to completely embarrass them in front of a foreign audience for the greater sake of the NFL.


Pitt -3.5 @ Cin
Who likes road favorites? I do in this one. When these teams meet the road team has won the last 6 in a row and 8 of the last 9. Also, the favorite has covered or pushed against the spread the last 9 in a row. But what I like most is that Pittsburgh is coming off an embarassing defeat to Denver in front of a national audience last Sunday night. They should have ran all over the Broncos, but chose to come out passing. They've received heavy criticism all week because of it, and I expect them to come out all fired up to prove they can run the ball at will. They should easily be able to wear down a week Cincy front seven and dominate time of possession. On the other side of the ball, don't expect Cincy's Kenny Watson to put up another 100-yd. game against this Steeler defense. He'll be lucky to get halfway there. I also like the fact that a week after their last hiccup against Arizona they trounced Seattle 21-0. Go with the history and the grit that is Pitt!


Wash +16.5 @ NE
Yes, NE has been playing out of their minds - statistically the best offensive football in history, through the first seven weeks of the season. Therefore, it is hard to throw some stats out there with any credibility. But, that has never stopped me. How about this? What is the average rank of the passing defenses the Pats have faced in those 7 games? How about 24th. That's the average. The best passing defense they faced was last week's Mia team which is currently ranked #14 and is in shambles (see above). The others rank as follows: Jets (26th), Chargers (25th), Bills (31st), Bengals (28th), Browns (29th), and Dallas (15th). This week they will finally meet a legit top 10 pass defense in the Redskins. Joe Gibbs is also smart enough to know that, to stay close and take the crowd out of the game, Washington will need to use their power run game to keep the Pats offense off the field. I also expect the Skins to win the turnover battle. Will they win the game? I highly doubt it, but they should cover.

Week 7 PSYCHO aWARD

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 7 that ranged from an Eagles collapse at the end of the game to the Houston Texans taking the lead after trailing by 25 points and then losing on a record breaking 8th field goal by Rob Bironas, but the unanimous winner goes to Miami Dolphins defense. The Patriots were men among boys on Sunday. Tom Brady had 5 TD's in the first half alone and closed out the day with 6 TD's. Randy Moss had 2 incredible touchdown catches, both in double coverage. Teams still haven't figured out the play action fake at the goal line where the Patriots have Vrabel lined up in the backfield and Brady throws to the tight end. Miami fans, you do not want to watch this video (click here).

NFL Free Picks Week 7

Picks in BOLD

BAL at BUF (+3)
MIN at DAL (-9.5)
TEN at HOU (+1.5)
AZ at WAS (-7.5)
TB at DET (-2.5)
SF at NYG (-9.5)
NE at MIA (+16.5)
ATL at NO (-8.5)
NYJ at CIN (-6)
KC at OAK (-3)
STL at SEA (-8.5)
CHI at PHI (-5)
PIT at DEN (+3.5)
IND at JAC (+3)

NFL Bargain Bets Week 7

KC +3 @ Oak

Are you a trend guy? Try these on for size: KC is 8-2 ATS (against the spread) in their last 10 AFC West games, OAK is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass, and the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Or how about the simple fact that Oakland has not beat KC since 2002 (the last 8 games). All trends point to KC. Not a trend guy? How about like opponents: KC beat SD 30-16, while Oakland was crushed by the Chargers last week 28-14. Yes, Oakland is definitely better than they were last year, but not good enough to topple a solid KC squad that should be able to run the ball consistently against a porous Oakland front 7. I think the oddsmakers got their teams mixed up; the Chiefs should be the team giving the points this week. The Chiefs should win this one outright.

Pitt -3.5 @ Den

No one seems to know what happens when an unstoppable force meets and immovable object. But, I think I know what happens when an unstoppable force meets a very pliable object. IT GETS RUN OVER ! Pittsburgh can't wait to bring its league-leading running attack (alright it's second, but it would have been league-leading if Adrian Peterson doesn't go off last week to move Minnesota ahead) to Denver to face the worst run defense in the league. This is one of those games that are all about how the teams' respective strengths and weaknesses line up. In this one, Pittsburgh's strength is running the ball and Denver's weakness is stopping the run. I just don't know how you overcome that. I also look for Pittsburgh's TE, Heath Miller, to have a nice game. We all know about the shut down Bronco's corners, but Miller should be able to find some nice seams as the Denver LB's cheat up to stop the run. Also, home has not been so sweet for Denver as they are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games. The Steelers have reloaded on defense and the Bronco's are reeling after 3 consecutive losses. I expect Willie Parker to feel like he joined the Mile High Club after this one.


Mia +16.5 vs. NE

Am I crazy? Maybe, but this Patriots "greatest team in history" talk has to end, and this is just the sort of game to do it. The Patriots have been en fuego, and the Dophins suck (even trading away one of their best players this week in Chris Chambers), but 16.5 points to a home team in the NFL is an awful lot. I would say this is a classic set-up game. One where the heavily favored team looks ahead to a more important upcoming game (maybe the Nov. 4th game of the undefeateds vs. Indy), but Belichick and Brady, don't look ahead. And, they do want to set some records this year. So, why am I taking the Dophins? Simple centrist mentality, all things tend toward the middle - NE can't continue to beat the spread every week with it continuing to grow while Mia does the opposite. I may be crazy, but I expect Miami to keep it close enough to cover.

NFL Power Rankings Week 7

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/index.htm

1. Patriots 6-0
The Patriots rose up to the occasion and won the shootout in Texas. The game was heavily hyped and it lived up to its expectations. Tom Brady had 5 TD passes and is having a huge season so far with 21 TD passes. He is on pace to shatter Manning's record of 48 TD passes. Brady and the Patriots travel to Miami this week where they have all sorts of nightmares (lost 21-0 last year).

2. Colts 5-0
The Colts face their toughest game so far this year against the Jaguars on Monday night. Both Harrison and Addai will be back for this game. NFL fans are all already looking forward to Week 9 when the Colts play the Patriots.

3. Cowboys 5-1
The Cowboys were the first team to have a lead against the Patriots in the 2nd half. The Cowboys now have a feeling for what it is going to take to win a title this year.

4. Steelers 4-1
The Steelers play the Broncos this week on Sunday night and are licking their chops. The Broncos have one of the worst rush defenses in the league.

5. Jaguars 4-1
The Jaguars might be the most underrated team in the NFL right now. They do play the Colts tough and blew them out last year 44-17 at home.

6. Packers 5-1
Doesn't Woodson look rejuvenated again? What is up with all these ex-Raiders?

7. Ravens 4-2
Doesn't it seem like the Ravens' offensive game plan each week is to get into position to settle for field goals?

8. Chargers 3-3
Norv Turner had to feel good about last week as he got some revenge against his former team. LT finally made fantasy owners very happy as he put up numbers similar to last year. Of note, center Nick Hardwick has a foot injury and could be out for several weeks

9. Giants 4-2
The Giants are on a 4-0 run. They should be able to continue their winning ways against the 49ers this weekend, however this is the type of game the Giants have trouble with.

10. Titans 3-2
The franchise player had an MRI on Monday and the results aren't known yet. Losing Vince Young is like the Lakers losing Kobe Bryant. I would immediately count the Titans out if Vince is out for a long time.

11. Redskins 3-2
Maybe Santana Moss should have benched himself before the game. Read More

12. Buccaneers 4-2
There is a rumor that Ronde is trying to get Tiki to come out of retirement and play for the Bucs. Of course, the Giants still own his rights. The Bucs improved to 3-0 at home and have held all three of their last four opponents to 10 points or less.

13. Seahawks 3-3
A rare loss for the Seahawks at home last week. Injuries at wide receiver have really hurt the offense as well as Alexander's lack of production. Lucky for them, the Rams are coming to town this week.

14. Lions 3-2
Tatem Bell is now the weekly "Give me the Ball" whiner. Read More

15. Eagles 2-3
You do not want to play the Eagles following their bye week.

16. Bears 2-4
It was shocking to see the Adrian Peterson run all over the Bears last week. Without Hester, I don't think the Bears would even have 2 wins.

17. Broncos 2-3
We will see if Shanahan was able to make some corrections to his run defense against the Steelers this week. If not, it is going to be a long night.

18. Panthers 4-2
Vinny! It was truly amazing to watch a guy perform at that level only having practiced a few days with his new team.

19.Texans 3-3
The Texans need to get Andre Johnson back if they want to stay in the wildcard race.

20. Cardinals 3-3
It is rough times in Arizona these days. The Diamondbacks got swept and the Cardinals lost to a 43 year old QB.

21. Chiefs 3-3
The Chiefs were PylonPicks Underdog of the Week and they delivered.

22. 49ers 2-3
The only chance the 49ers have to win this week against the Giants is to keep the game low scoring and hope for a few big plays.

23. Saints 1-4
The Saints finally looked like the team that played in the NFC championship last year.

24. Browns 3-3
Even without Jamal Lewis in there, the Browns offense looked potent. With Derek Anderson at the helm, the Browns have averaged 32 points in his five starts.

25. Raiders 2-3
This team is a perfect example of why records are meaningless and you should really pay attention to our Power Rankings.

26. Vikings 2-3
Some are comparing Adrian Peterson to LT already.

27. Bengals 1-4
"If you don't want to be on the team, don't show up." The Bengals didn't show up again in Arrowhead last week.

28. Bills 1-4
The Bills schedule will finally get easier after this week :)

29. Jets 1-5
Once teams in the NFL figure out how to beat you, the formula and strategy is copied from team to team. The Jets fans and media are saying the timing is right for a QB change.

30. Falcons 1-4
There is really not much to comment on except that 48+ yards is out of Morten Anderson's range.

31. Dolphins 0-6
The 1972 Dolphins are lucky the Patriots play the Colts, otherwise there could legitimately be 2 teams that break their record.

32. Rams 0-6
I don't quite understand why Marc Bulger even wants to get back on the field. It is admirable but I would start seeing who we could draft at #1 next year.

Week 6 PSYCHO aWARD

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.
There were several nominees for Week 6 that ranged from another bad Chad Pennington's performance to the Bears allowing rookie Adrian Peterson to rumble through their once mighty defense, but the unanimous winner goes to Arizona Cardinals. With only a few days to prepare for this week's game, 43 year old Vinny Testaverde became the oldest QB to ever win an NFL game. Vinny (teammates call him "Dad") is the Julio Franco of the NFL. Earlier this week, the Cardinals were trying to sign Vinny, but got Tim Rattay instead. You just have to look at the box score to see how this turned out for the Cardinals. It is rough times in Arizona these days with this Cardinals loss and the Diamondbacks about ready to get swept by the Rockies.

NFL Bargain Bets Week 6

NYG -3.5 at ATL

Eerie! Exactly one year ago to the day, 10/15/06, these same two teams played in the same locale. The Giants put a 27-14 hurt on the Vick-led Falcons. In that game, Atlanta kept it somewhat close by running for over 220 yards, with Dunn and Vick leading the way. Unfortunately for Falcon fans, the Giants rumbled for almost 260 yards on the ground. The Giants sacked Vick seven times in that game. In case you haven't heard, both Falcon tackles were lost to injuries this past weekend. And, in case you didn't see it, two weeks ago, the Giants recorded 12 sacks, half of which were against a rookie tackle for Philly. The Giants should be bringing the house all night long. For Atlanta to have any chance, their quarterback will need to get out of the pocket and find his hot routes. If you believe Harrington (or Leftwich, Lord help us) can accomplish that, then take the Falcons. I'm not a believer. The Giants have won three straight by an average of 10 points, and are on a roll. History should repeat.

AZ -4 vs. Car

You know you are in trouble when . . . you sign a 43-year old quarterback on a Wednesday and there is rumor he could start for you on Sunday. That's what we have for the Panthers this week. Delhomme is gone for the year and David Carr, their backup, is questionable. Here is Carr's quote with regard to his health, "I felt like my grandpa Monday. I felt like my dad (Wednesday). Hopefully I'll feel like my 7-year-old son by Sunday." Yah, that's about how he's been throwing the ball, like a 7-year-old. Although Carolina loves playing on the road (3-0 on the road and 0-2 at home this year), the Cardinals are simply too tough, literally. Wisey's got them playing his former team's (Pittsburgh) brand of smashmouth football. The Cardinal O-line has been getting stronger each week and consistently opening holes for Edge. Warner is now their full-time QB and throws a better ball than Leinhart ever did. And consider this, the three teams the Panthers have beaten this year have a combined record of 1-13. If it weren't for a last second TD and 2-pt. conversion by the Rams last week, the Cardinals would be perfect against the spread this year. Gladly give the 4 points on this one.


Ten +3 at TB

The Titans should be favored in this one, yet they are getting 3 pts. This is a bit of charity. Take the points and run. If you believe in looking at like opponents, both teams beat the Saints by exactly the same score, 31-14. However, the Titans played the Colts (lost 22-20) much tougher than the Bucs (lost 33-14). When handicapping this game, the stat that jumps off the page is Tennessee's ability to run the ball (153/game) and Tampa's inability to stop it (124/game). That is the perfect formula for taking the crowd out of a game. Tampa also counts on running the ball, but is down to starting its #3 back with which to do it. The Titans should win this one outright in a slow, boring game with the more physical team coming out on top. Yawn - send the cash!

NFL Power Rankings Week 6

1. Patriots (5-0)
The Patriots fell asleep a little in the second half last week against the Browns. They were probably already starting to prepare for the Cowboys. We are finally here! Super Bowl preview. Tom Brady's first visit to Big D. Belichick did a number on Parcells last time these two teams met.

2. Colts (5-0)
Plug and Play. Even without Addai and Harrison, the Colts won easily. Now they get the bye week to heal everyone.

3. Cowboys (5-0)
Was it Wade Wilson's return from suspension that caused Romo to throw 5 interceptions? The Cowboys will never get away with that kind of sloppy play this weekend against the Patriots. They are going to need to bring their A+ game to win.

4. Steelers (4-1)
The top teams of the AFC are starting to flex their muscles again. The Steelers totally dominated the Seahawks last week. Like the Colts, Pittsburg is feeling good going into their bye week

5. Titans (3-1)
The Titans did not look good against the Falcons but still won. Look for more defenses to stop the Titans running game and force Young to make some plays down field.

6. Jaguars (3-1)
The Jaguars got some revenge on the Chiefs after last year's loss at Arrowhead. The run defense held the Chiefs to only 10 yards, a mind blowing statistic.

7. Packers (4-1)
The Packers did not impress us last week against the Bears. We definitely had them overrated and we were on the Favre bandwagon. I think reality has set in and the Packers can look for a tough match up against the Redskins secondary this weekend.

8. Ravens (3-2)
Dink and Dunk works in the NFL I guess. At some point the Ravens are going to have to score some touchdowns or else they are going to get burned.

9. Chargers (2-3)
Finally, the Chargers explode and they could take over first place in the AFC West with a victory over the Raiders this weekend. Norv Turner will be looking to roll up the score against his former team.

10. Seahawks (3-2)
The Seahawks could do nothing against the Steelers last week. They are happy to be coming home for a match up against the lowly Saints.

11. Redskins (3-1)
The Redskins' took out their frustrating loss to the Giants on the Lions. The secondary will be tested again on the Road against Favre.

12. Giants (3-2)
The Giants have played in some of the wildest games so far this year. Give the team some credit after being thrown under the bus after week 2.

13. Buccaneers (3-2)
Pick up Ernst Graham for your fantasy football team. He is the only running back the Bucs have left to play.

14. Lions (3-2)
How does a team lose 21 straight games to an opponent on the road? Well, you just score 3 points.

15. Bears (2-3)
The Bears are showing that they are going to have to win with their defense again this year. Tillman has mastered the art of stripping a football.

16. Broncos (2-3)
This might be one of the worst Broncos teams that Shanahan has coached.

17. Eagles (1-3)
McNabb is going to be having flashbacks of the sack attack he experienced in the Meadowlands a few weeks ago. Luckily for him, the Jets only have 3 sacks all this year.

18. Texans (3-2)
Look for Kris Brown to get some more field goal chances this week against the stingy Jags defense.

19. Panthers (3-2)
Carolina loves playing on the road this year. 3-0 so far. David Carr will be the starting QB from here on out. Fox will need to motivate this team week in and week out.

20. Cardinals (3-2)
The Cardinals are bringing in 43-year-old Vinny Testaverde and Tim Rattay for tryouts as they search for a replacement for injured QB Matt Leinart

21. 49ers (2-3)
The 49ers offense looks horrific. They have a bye week to try and straighten things out.

22. Raiders (2-2)
What a first place team ranked this low in the Power Rankings? The Raiders are in FIRST place without even having to play a game last week. I just had to say that.

23. Bengals (1-3)
"If you don't want to be on the team, don't show up." Will the wounded Bengals show up in Arrowhead this week?

24. Chiefs (2-3)
What? 10 yards rushing last week, are we missing a zero? Look for Larry Johnson to unload on the Bengals this week.

25. Jets (1-4)
Here we go again with another NFL player wanting more touches. Where have we heard this before? Read More

26. Saints (0-4)
There is no fire in this team at all this year. Poor execution all around.

27. Browns (2-3)
The Browns have showed some progress but just aren't at a level to compete with teams like the Patriots or Colts.

28. Bills (1-4)
Like I said last week, Thurman Thomas and Jim Kelly will be having flashbacks to Super Bowl losses if they watched this game. That loss will sting for a while.

29. Vikings (1-3)
Tavaris Jackson is expected to start against Chicago this week, not that it matters.

30. Falcons (1-4)
Harrington remains the starter this week as the QB carousel have moved from Arizona to Atlanta now

31. Dolphins (0-5)
I think Miami will be better off with Lemon as their QB

32 Rams (0-5)
Gus Frerotte put up some decent numbers last week. It will be tough for the Rams to do anything this week against the Ravens defense.

NFL Week 6 - Who to Start

Here is a list of players who I think will produce the maximum amount of points at their position for the upcoming week.

Week 5 Comments: I was right on with Kris Brown last week. In some leagues, the three 50 yard field goals he made could have been worth even more points. Shockey got his TD and luckily we don't count turnovers against a QB, otherwise Romo would have nothing.

QB - Tom Brady
Tom Brady grew up idolizing Joe Montana, which means he most likely hated the rival Dallas Cowboys. Brady's first game in Big D should be a memorable one.

RB - Larry Johnson
There are a lot of good running back matchups this week (McGahee against Rams, LT vs Raiders, and Alexander against Saints). However, the Chiefs have something to really prove in their running game this week especially after only gaining 10 yards last week. I seriously doubt the Bengals can even hold Johnson to under 100 rushing yards. I expect a high scoring affair in Arrowhead.

WR - T.J. Houshmandzadeh
The Bengals will most likely need to pass the ball this week against the Chiefs to be successful. T.J. is also the leader this year in looks / touches per game.

TE - Greg Olsen
Griese was looking for rookie tight end a lot last week. He should get a lot of catches this week as the Vikings are good at stopping the run.

K - Josh Brown
I'm going with the other Brown this week. The Saints defense can't stop anyone.

D - Chicago Bears
This is one of those games where you turn on the game late in the second quarter and the score is 3-0 Bears. The Vikings will not even come close to scoring 10 points in this game. The Bears are fired up after last week's win at Green Bay. If the Vikings get behind early, this game could get out of hand really fast.

Week 5 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 5 PSYCHO aWARD: Chiefs Running Game

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and puts you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 5 that ranged from Detroit's 21st straight road loss in Washington to the formerly undefeated Packers 5 turnover, 12 penalty performance Sunday night against the Bears, but the unanimous winner goes to Larry Johnson and the Kansas City Chiefs running game. The Chiefs only managed a mind staggering 10 yards rushing against the Jaguars in Arrowhead Stadium of all places. Larry Johnson had only 9 carries for 12 yards which has many fantasy owners wishing they took either Manning or Brady in the first round.

NFL Free Picks Week 5

Picks in BOLD

ATL at TEN (-8.5)
NYJ at NYG (-3)
MIA at HOU (-5.5)
CLE at NE (-16)
AZ at STL (+3.5)
DET at WAS (-3.5)
JAC at KC (+2.5)
SEA at PIT (-6)
CAR at NO (-3)
TB at IND (-10)
SD at DEN (-1)
BAL at SF (+3)
CHI at GB (-3)
DAL at BUF (+10)

NFL Week 5 - Who to Start

Here is a list of players who I think will produce the maximum amount of points at their position for the upcoming week. The scoring system can be found at the bottom of this article.

Week 4 Comments: What is with Ronnie Brown going off 2 weeks in a row? Gonzalez outperformed Gates and to everyone's surprise the Chiefs knocked off the Chargers. I would have scratched Burress last week had I known about the ankle injury and the Cowboys scored nothing but touchdowns which isn't good when you pick a kicker.

QB - Tony Romo
I like Brady again against the Browns but I've decided not to choose the same player 2 weeks in a row. Plus, the Bills have the worst pass defense in the league even after Pennington's mediocre performance last week.

RB - Reggie Bush
I'm looking for Reggie to finally have a breakout game and this is the week. The Saints certainly need a great game from him in order to win. Bush will get most of the carries with McAllister out and he will also get a substantial amount of yards from the passing game.

WR - Randy Moss
Who in the Browns secondary is going to be able to stop him?

TE - Jeremy Shockey
I have not done well choosing a Tight End this year. However, this is my week. Shockey doesn't have a TD yet this year and is long overdue for one.

K - Kris Brown
With the Texans missing so many weapons on offense, they will be settling for field goals which will probably be enough to beat the Dolphins.

D - Baltimore Ravens
This could be a shutout game. The 49ers only weapon is Gore and the Ravens are only allowing 71 rushing yards per game. It is usually not very wise to pick a defense when they are playing on the road, but I can't resist. The 49ers may be able to hire Norv Turner back as offensive coordinator later this year.

NFL Power Rankings Week 5

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/power_rankings_2007_week5.htm

1. Patriots (4-0)
The Patriots are starting to falter; they didn't score 38 points this week. Maybe Belichick can use this as motivation for next week's game against the Browns. Can we just skip to week 6 where the Patriots play the Cowboys?

2. Colts (4-0)
The Colts continue to roll. Could the absence of Harrison be enough to knock them off track? Doubt it.

3. Cowboys (4-0)
Everyone was saying the Cowboys would have a "letdown game" against the Rams. The chances of the Cowboys having a "letdown game" are zero with Tony Romo at the helm. This guy just loves to compete and play no matter what sport it is.

4. Packers (4-0)
Good thing for Favre and running back Ryan Grant that the Packers held on last week. You could see that Brett Favre wanted the win against the Vikings to go along with his passing record. The Packers are enjoying the longest current winning streak in the NFL.

5. Steelers (3-1)
So much for the Steelers starting 5-0 like I was predicting. With Hines Ward sitting out for a game, you could really see the offense struggling.

6. Titans (2-1)
It was a bye week for the Titans. They host the Falcons this week.

7 Jaguars (2-1)
It was a bye week for Jacksonville last week. They take on the Chiefs in Arrowhead where last year the Chiefs had beaten the Jaguars 35-30 in a wild game.

8. Seahawks (3-1)
The Seahawks defense dominated the 49ers last weekend and showed that they aim to win a 4th straight NFC West title. They did take a hit in losing special teams standout Alvin Pearman for the season.

9. Ravens (2-2)
The Ravens look like they are going to be one of those win at home and lose on the road teams this year.

10. Chargers (1-3)
Just a stat I want to throw out there: Norv Turner is 0-6 lifetime against the Chiefs. I am waiting to hear what Marty thinks of this whole debacle.

11. Broncos (2-2)
The Broncos were overmatched last week against the Colts even after the Colts spotted the Broncos a 10 point lead. The Broncos defense is inept at stopping the run this year and they better make some adjustments before LT comes to town.

12. Redskins (2-1)
The Redskins' had an extra week to digest their loss to the Giants. They get the up and coming Lions this week.

13. Buccaneers (3-1)
Tough blow losing Williams for the season. However, Gruden has his Bucs playing well.

14. Lions (3-1)
The Lions exploded with 34 points in the 4th quarter last week against the Bears. They have matched last year's wins total. I am a believer now and the Lions can win at least 10 games this year.

15. Bears (1-3)
Brian Griese does not look like the solution for the Bears and amazingly they are going to continue with him again this week. Lovie Smith just wants to prove to everyone that Grossman is the best he's got at the QB position.

16. Giants (2-2)
Osi Umenyiora made up for the Giants only having 4 sacks in 3 games as he had a team-record six sacks. How does the home field thing work again when both teams play in the same stadium?

17 Eagles (1-3)
The Eagles looked horrific Sunday night. At least they have a bye week to rest Westbrook and try to fix the offensive line.

18. 49ers (2-2)
Of note, Trent Dilfer will get to start against his old team this week. Alex Smith has a separated shoulder and his return is not known.

19. Texans (2-2)
The Texans like most teams are heavily banged up. The Texans face another winless team in the Dolphins this week and hope to put last week's miscues against the Falcons behind them.

20. Saints (0-3)
How many of you had the Saints vs Chargers in this year's Super Bowl? The Saint's had a week off to prepare for the Panthers.

21. Panthers (2-2)
David Carr will be the starting QB as long as Delhomme is out. Here is another team in disarray with players arguing and doubting their lack of effort.

22. Cardinals (2-2)
Kurt Warner is now the new Mariano Rivera of the NFL.

23. Bengals (1-3)
"If you don't want to be on the team, don't show up." That is exactly what the Bengals will do next week as they have a bye.

24. Jets (1-3)
The Jets allowed 17 points to a team that had scored 24 in the previous three games combined. Not to mention the Jets could only put 14 points on the board against the worst defense in the league.

25. Chiefs (2-2)
The Chiefs new rookie standout Dwayne Bowe caught eight balls for 164 yards and a touchdown as the Chiefs scored 24 unanswered second-half points to beat the Chargers.

26. Raiders (2-2)
Daunte Culpepper must be the happiest football player right now. He really stuck it to the Dolphins last week.

27. Browns (2-2)
Romeo Crennel returns to New England to face the team he once help coach. I'm guessing the Patriots defense will be extra fired up for this matchup.

28. Bills (1-3)
Uplifting win for the Bills last week, they needed it. However, the most brutal starting schedule continues as they host the Cowboys. Thurman Thomas and Jim Kelly will be having flashbacks to Super Bowl losses if they watch this game.

29. Vikings (1-3)
Kelly Holcomb definitely didn't perform well enough to take the QB job away from Tavaris Jackson.

30. Falcons (1-3)
Atlanta can finally look past Vick and their old backup QB.

31. Dolphins (0-4)
When you guarantee victory like Porter just about did, it always seems to come back and bite you. Ricky Williams really does want to come back and save this team.

32. Rams (0-4)
The Rams are in deep deep trouble.

Week 4 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 4 PSYCHO aWARD: Eagles Offensive Line

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and put you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 4 from Brian Griese's Grossman like outing to the Chargers embarrassing loss to the Chiefs (you can't blame the fans for chanting Marty! Marty! Marty!), but the unanimous winner goes to the Philadelphia Eagles offensive line. If you didn't catch Sunday night's game, you didn't miss much except for 12 sacks from the NY Giants defense. I had to look close at the TV to make sure that it was really McNabb back there and not Drew Bledsoe. Osi Umenyiora has already secured a trip to the Pro Bowl after registering 6 sacks and a force fumble. Maybe the City of Brotherly Love was just feeling sorry for the Big Apple. After all, the Jets had lost earlier to the winless Bills and the Mets had completed of the biggest collapses in baseball history.

Home Dog Weekend

Home Dog Weekend
September 29th 2007

This is a very exciting week in the NFL as there are 9 games where the home team is getting points. I don't think this has ever happened in the history of the NFL. In 2006, we had 2 weeks where 7 teams were home dogs. I've been asked several times by many of my friends to provide some analysis on home dogs. They fear the power of the home dog and rightfully so. There is some sort of voodoo or black magic when favored teams play on the road.

In 2006, the home dogs won 46 out of 77 games! A winning percentage of 60%. The road favorites only had a winning record 2 out of the 17 weeks. The winning trend for home dogs has even continued into 2007 (7 for 11 or 64%).

With 9 games this weekend, you can almost count on 5 or 6 of the home dogs winning with the spread. I am betting against the trend this week in only taking only 2 home dogs. Why you ask? I don't buy any of it!

1. New England was a road favorite in 5 games last year and won 4.
2. Pick Detroit? I'm not on the Kitna band wagon yet. Besides what if he doesn't make it through the first quarter?
3. Read Bargain Bets for the Jets and Green Bay comments. I didn't write the article, but I totally agree with the comments.
4. Seattle is tired of hearing how they lost to the 49ers twice last year and can't play on grass, etc. Well, for one, the QB in the first game last year was Seneca Wallace and Alexander was just coming back from his injury.
5. History has shown that anything can happen in the Eagles/Giants game. However, McNabb was hot last week and the Giants used all their luck to pull out a win in Washington last week.

NFL Bargain Bets - Week 4

NFL Bargain Bets: Week 4
September 27th 2007
by Old Man Winner

Jets -3.5 @ Bills
Buffalo has scored a total of 24 points this year. That's right - all three games combined - 24 points. They are last in the league defending both the pass and the run. This past week they also lost their middle linebacker. How much more do you need to know? Besides, Thomas Jones is getting more comfortable with the Jets run scheme and has increased his yards in each of the first three games, topping 100 yards last week. When it comes to the passing game, who would you rather have, an experienced Chad Pennington with 4 TD's and only 1 INT in his two games this year, or a wet-behind-the-ears rookie who will be starting his first NFL game? The Jet defense must be salivating . . . .

Packers -2 @ Vikings
Yah, yah, I know. Favre doesn't play well on turf. Favre doesn't play well in domes. Blah, blah, blah. Have you watched a Packer game this year? He does not even look like the same guy. He's playing smarter, and much more under control. The Vikings stout defensive line has the capability to hold the Packers run game to close to zero yards, literally. This will force Favre to throw the ball 40-50 times. Exactly! He should eat the Viking secondary alive with a strong contingent of receivers and tight ends. Minnesota, with Kelly Holcolm as their plug-in QB this week, will get very conservative and try to run on the Packers, who should be able to keep them in check. If the Packers can hold the Vikings from rushing for anything less than 150 yards they should cruise. I would expect the Packers to win the turnover battle and cover easily. The Pack are, in fact, back and they are for real.

Patriots -7 @ Bengals
This could be a trap game, but it's hard to argue with the league's most potent offense vs. the 29th ranked defense. How in the world does Cincy stop NE when Cleveland dropped a 51-spot on them just two weeks ago? Besides, Brady on Monday night - C'mon - when has he ever shrunk from a big time game? On the other side of the ball, Palmer does have weapons, but Belichick's defense should be able to scheme against a one-dimensional offense that will be without it's top rusher, Rudi Johnson. I like New England's Ocho Uno in this one!

NFL Free Picks Week 4

Selections in BOLD

OAK at MIA (-3.5)

GB at MIN (+2)

NYJ at BUF (+3.5)

CHI at DET (+3)

HOU at ATL (+3)

BAL at CLE (+4.5)

STL at DAL (-12.5)

TB at CAR (-3)

SEA at SF (+2)

KC at SD (-12.5)

DEN at IND (-9.5)

PIT at AZ (+5.5)

PHI at NYG (+2.5)

NE at CIN (+7)

NFL Week 4 - Who to Start

Who to Start: Week 4

Here is a list of players who I think will produce the maximum amount of points at their position for the upcoming week.

Week 3 Comments: It is not often that you give Peyton Manning and Steve Smith a thumbs down in the same week, but it happened in week 3.

QB - Tom Brady
I am not sure why I waited so long to pick Tom Brady for QB of the week. Brady to Moss is for real and don't forget that Derek Anderson threw for 5 TD's against the Bengals just a few weeks ago.

RB - Joseph Addai
The Colts will no doubt use a game plan similar to the Jaguars and just try to pound the ball against the Broncos. I'm sure Manning will take his shots against Bly and Bailey in order to spread out the defense for the running game. I had Thomas Jones as a sleeper RB this week against the Bills as he started to pick up his game last week against the Dolphins.

WR - Plaxico Burress
With a banged up Eagles secondary, look for Burress to take advantage.

TE - Antonio Gates
Antonio Gates vs Tony Gonzalez. I'm going with Gates this week at home.

K - Nick Folk
Look for the Cowboys to have several opportunities in St. Louis territory this week.

D - Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are at home, Jackson is out, Bulger has broken ribs, and the Rams offensive line is decimated.

NFL Power Rankings Week 4

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/power_rankings_2007_week4.htm

1. Patriots (3-0)
38 seems to be the magic number for the Patriots. I actually thought we were going to have to wait until week 9 (Colts vs Pats) to see two really good teams go at. However, the Patriots against the Cowboys in Week 6 is shaping up to be a preview of the Super Bowl.

2. Colts (3-0)
The Colts are finding ways to win, nothing dominating or fancy, just consistent.

3. Steelers (3-0)
Like I said the Steelers have a very good chance of starting 5-0.

4. Cowboys (3-0)
Is it too early to say the Cowboys' offense looks better than the team that won 3 Super Bowls in the 90's? Aikman = Romo, Novachek = Witten and Irvin = Owens, Smith = Jones + Barber III.

5. Ravens (2-1)
The Ravens need a new 4th quarter defense.

6. Packers (3-0)
The Packers are rolling. 7 straight dating back to last year, the longest current winning streak in the NFL. Congratulations to Brett Favre on tying the passing TD record.

7. Titans (2-1)
The Titans are a good team to go into New Orleans on a Monday night game and come away with the victory. Maybe Vince should have gone #1 in the draft?

8. Jaguars (2-1)
The Jaguars pounded the Broncos with the running game last week. They can probably beat most teams in the NFL this year with that style of football.

9. Seahawks (2-1)
Seattle is so tough at home. If they can pull off a couple road wins, they should easily make the playoffs again this year. It seems that the Seahawks have found replacements for Darrell Jackson in Bobby Engram and Nate Burleson.

10. Chargers (1-2)
Tomlinson only has 130 yards rushing in 3 games. He had 131 yards in his first game last year. Bring back Marty Ball.

11. Bears (1-2)
Chicago has the post Super Bowl blues. Grossman isn't helping. He has a 45.2 rating and a league-leading six interceptions and with just one touchdown. The defense is falling apart losing Pro Bowlers left and right. Briggs and Vasher both left the last game with groin injuries.

12. Broncos (2-1)
The only excitement last week for the Broncos was Terrell Davis being inducted into the Broncos' Ring of Fame.

13. Eagles (1-2)
Kevin Curtis proved to be the big play threat the Eagles were finally looking for.

14. 49ers (2-1)
I think the 49ers finally realized they can not rely on Frank Gore to carry the load every game. The 49ers also lost Vernon Davis the next two games with a sprained knee.

15. Bengals (1-2)
The Bengals are definitely fun to watch. Last minute turnovers have killed their chances lately.

16. Panthers (2-1)
How often will you see Steve Smith get held down to just one catch for 10 yards and the Panthers still won the game? Delhomme has a strained elbow and is questionable against the Bucs this week.

17. Redskins (2-1)
The Redskins' fans must be sick to their stomachs this week after watching the goal line play calling made by their team. The Redskins have now given some life to the Giants season.

18. Jets (1-2)
Pennington put to rest any questions about his injured ankle last week.

19. Texans (2-1)
Tough to beat the defending champs without your #1 wide receiver. Luckily, the Texans get the Falcons this week.

20. Saints (0-3)
The Saint's are sputtering. How could they go from being one game away from the Super Bowl to this?

21. Lions (2-1)
Well, my idea of Leftwich going to the Lions fell through. Do you think the Eagles had enough room to run around in the Lions secondary last week?

22. Buccaneers (2-1)
The Bucs play the Panthers next week for first place in the NFC South. Of note, Earnest Graham finally got his time to shine rushing for 75 yards and 2 TD's against the Rams.

23. Giants (1-2)
A great 2nd half rally last week by the Giants and a goal line stance that has saved Tom Coughlin's job for the time being.

24. Vikings (1-2)
Kelly Holcomb got his first start but was just adequate. A win by him at the helm over the Packers this week at home may just start a QB controversy.

25. Cardinals (1-2)
A great comeback engineered by Kurt Warner last week but once again the Cardinals fell short. How soon will Leinart be pulled against the Steelers next week?

26. Chiefs (1-2)
Larry Johnson has 10 more rushing yards than Tomlinson so far. Usually that would mean something, but both of them are at the bottom of the league in rushing this year.

27. Dolphins (0-3)
Where was Ronnie Brown the first 2 games? Maybe he got fired up after Ricky Williams announced that he wanted to come back. Cam Cameron is off to the worst start of any first-year coach in Miami history.

28. Raiders (1-2)
Rookie coach Kiffin gets his first win using the same timeout strategy Mike Shanahan beat his Raiders with last week. Dawson actually made the field goal to win the game but a timeout was called right before the snap. Then the Raiders blocked the 2nd attempt for the victory. What comes around goes around.

29. Browns (1-2)
Well, I'm not sure whether to put the Raiders above the Brown this week or not after last week's trickery. Tough decisions.

30. Rams (0-3)
The Rams are in deep trouble. Steven Jackson will miss at least one week with a partial tear of his left groin. As well, guard Mark Setterstrom was lost for the season with a torn left knee ligament.

31. Bills (0-3)
Now Losman has gone down for 2 weeks. This season is a disaster for the Bills..

32. Falcons (0-3)
Matt Schaub faces his old team this week in Atlanta.

Week 3 - PYSCHO aWARD

Week 3 PSYCHO aWARD: Teams that Blew their Cover

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and put you on the edge of insanity.

You turn on the TV, it's the 4th quarter, and the team you picked is way up with hardly any time left in the game. You think to yourself that this game is locked up; they are going to cover the spread easily. Well guess again, the prevent defense has prevented you from winning your bets. It drives you insane!!

Jets: Gave up 2 TD's plus a 2 point conversion (15 points!!) in the last 8 minutes to allow the Dolphins to push the spread.

Colts: Gave up a TD with under 3 minutes left allowing the Texans to push the spread.

Ravens: Two weeks in a row the Ravens have blown huge 4th quarter leads (23-6 vs. AZ and 20-3 vs. NYJ).

NFL Bargain Bets - Week 3

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/articles/bargainbetsweek3.htm

DEN -3 vs. JAX
Denver currently holds the #1 offense in the league (yards gained). Denver's Travis Henry leads the league in rushing with an average of 133.5 yds/game. Jacksonville's front seven is banged up and, after two games, is last against the rush (141 yds/game). Denver loves to pound the ball against porous run defenses, especially in the Mile High rarified air when visiting teams often run out of air (literally) late in the game. And, although they also sport a top 5 passing attack, they won't need it. On the other side of the ball Jacksonville's offense has been very parochial, averaging only 11 pts a game. The Jags will try to run the ball against the stout passing defense of Denver, but it won't be enough. This has all the makings of a run fest, which Denver should win easily.

SD -4.5 @ GB
This one is not about the numbers. The numbers would throw you - after two weeks the Chargers have the 2nd worst rushing offense in the league and the 4th worst offense overall. But the numbers don't tell the story. The Chargers have played, arguably, the two best defenses in the NFL. As we said in week one, the Packer defense has taken nice strides forward, but they are not Chicago, nor are they New England. LT has only rushed for 68 yards and one TD in two games. Last year he could have easily put those numbers up in one quarter. No, this pick is about banking on the fact that true colors must eventually shine through. Besides, the Packers are a very one dimensional passing team and the Charger secondary is above average.

CAR -4 @ ATL
You know you are in trouble when . . . . you sign Byron Leftwich to come in and improve your franchise. The Falcons are working hard to try and replace the Oakland Raiders as the doormats of the league this year. They have scored a total of 10 points in two games. They simply have absolutely no offensive threat. Don't get me wrong, the Panthers are no juggernaut, but should be able to take advantage of a weak run defense. Besides, no one can stop Steve Smith when he and Delhomme are clicking . . . . which they are. Panthers should win this one going away.

NFL Free Picks Week 3

Selections in BOLD

DET at PHI (-6)

BUF at NE (-16)

MIA at NYJ (-3)

AZ at BAL (-7.5)

STL at TB (-3.5)

SF at PIT (-8.5)

IND at HOU (+6)

MIN at KC (-2.5)

SD at GB (+4.5)

CLE at OAK (-3)

CIN at SEA (-3.5)

JAC at DEN (-3)

NYG at WAS (-4)

CAR at ATL (+4)

DAL at CHI (-3)

TEN at NO (-5)

NFL Power Rankings Week 3

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/power_rankings_2007_week3.htm

1. Patriots (2-0)
There was electricity in the air Sunday night at Foxboro but none of it was being generated by the Bolts. I've seen other power rankings where New England is not #1. Don't even bother to read what they have to say.

2. Colts (2-0)
The Colts for some strange reason really struggle with the Titans. I wish we could just move to week 9 when the Colts play the Patriots.

3. Chargers (1-1)
Grudge match of the year last week for the Chargers and they got whipped. Norv had the Chargers looking like the Raiders team he coached. I guess just give them some more time to get used to the new coaching staff.

4. Bears (1-1)
When are teams going to smarten up and avoid punting the ball to Devin Hester?

5. Steelers (2-0)
The Steelers took care of business. They now face three NFC West opponents and have a good chance of starting 5-0.

6. Cowboys (2-0)
The Cowboys' point total after two games is their highest since 1971. Once again, Jason Garrett's play calling picked apart the opponent's defense. Romo looks sharp and Marion the Barbarian is a monster running the ball.

7. Ravens (1-1)
Boller gets the job done with McNair sidelined. The ex-Ravens had an even better week (Jamal Lewis rushed for 216 yards and Adalius Thomas had an interception for a TD)

8. Broncos (2-0)
I'll just use the same note from last week. It looks like the Broncos motto this year will be "Just Win Ugly". Well used timeout Mike.

9. Bengals (1-1)
I think there are some holes in the Bengals defense.

10. Titans (1-1)
We knew the Titans would keep it close against the Colts. However, it is all about Reggie Bush vs. Vince Young this week. A tough challenge for the Titans to go into New Orleans after the Saints pathetic start to this season.

11. Saints (0-2)
The Aint's appear to be back, so get out those paper bags for this week's home opener.

12. Jaguars (1-1)
The Jags / Falcons game had zero excitement.

13. Seahawks (1-1)
Normally, it is the Cardinals fumbling the game away. The NFC West is definitely up for grabs this year.

14. 49ers (2-0)
Frank Gore's made his mom proud. Read more. He had 2 TD's plus the game winning TD. The 49ers are looking good at 2-0 and leading the NFC West.

15. Packers (2-0)
The Pack is back. They should request to move into the NFC East.

16. Eagles (0-2)
Good news, the Eagles have found a solution to their punt return issues. However, the Eagles offense looks off balance and is very inconsistent.

17. Texans (2-0)
After a road victory, the Texans can no longer be titled a sleeper team. It is going to be a difficult task for the secondary against the Colts this week, not to mention Andre Johnson is doubtful.

18. Redskins (2-0)
The Redskins are playing sound defense and their mistake free play at QB by Jason Campbell has them 2-0 and tied with the Cowboys atop the NFC East.

19. Panthers (1-1)
Delhomme has answered his critics in the first 2 weeks about his QB play. Luckily, the Panthers get the Falcons this week.

20. Jets (0-2)
Maybe the Jets have something here with Clemens, well for at least 1 quarter they did.

21. Lions (2-0)
Was last week's Lions / Vikings game the sloppiest played game ever? It may be a good idea for the Lions to shop around for a backup QB (i.e. Leftwich)

22. Vikings (1-1)
Kelly Holcomb!!

23. Rams (0-2)
The Rams were inches from winning last week's game as the 56 yard game winning field kick just sailed under the crossbar. It was a frustrating loss for the Rams as they moved the football up and down the field all day but still came up short.

24. Dolphins (0-2)
The Dolphins defense is going to melt and need life support each week if the offense can't put together any drives and stay on the field.

25. Giants (0-2)
For the first time since 1996, the Giants are 0-2. That was the final year for Dan Reeves, which doesn't bode well for Coughlin.

26. Cardinals (1-1)
You have to be happy for the Cardinals to finally be on the winning end this time.

27. Buccaneers (1-1)
The Bucs are in first place in the NFC South! Galloway now has nine TD catches in six games against the Saints.

28. Browns (1-1)
Frye gets shipped to Seattle and the offense scores 51 points? The Browns play the Raiders which will have an huge impact on the bottom of our Power Rankings.

29. Chiefs (0-2)
At least the Larry Johnson's rap song controversy gives the Chiefs fans something to talk about. http://www.kansascity.com/sports/chiefs/story/276113.html

30. Bills (0-2)
It is going to be a rough start for the Bills. Now they get to go play at New England.

31. Raiders (0-2)
The Raiders fall short again after Janikowski's apparent winning kick was negated by a late timeout. Read more. Sunday's loss makes 15 straight divisional losses, 12 successive road defeats and 11 losses in a row overall

32. Falcons (0-2)
Vick may be sharing a jail cell with O.J. Simpson soon

Week 2 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 2 PSYCHO aWARD: Bengals Defense

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and put you on the edge of insanity.

There were several nominees for Week 2 from the entire New Orleans Saints team performance to the 10 turnovers in the Detroit game, but the unanimous winner goes to the Cincinnati Bengals defensive unit. Derek Anderson threw for 328 yards and a franchise record tying 5 TD's and the revitalized Jamal Lewis rushed for 215 yards and a TD. You can read more at cincypost.com and relive the torture by watching the video highlights here.

NFL Free Picks Week 2

Selections in BOLD

IND at TEN (+7)

BUF at PIT (-9.5)

CIN at CLE (+7)

NO at TB (+3.5)

SF at STL (-3)

ATL at JAC (-10.5)

GB at NYG (-1)

HOU at CAR (-6.5)

SEA at AZ (+3)

MIN at DET (-3)

DAL at MIA (+3.5)

NYJ at BAL (-9.5)

KC at CHI (-12.5)

OAK at DEN (-9.5)

SD at NE (-3.5)

WAS at PHI (-7)

Week 1 PSYCHO aWARD

Week 1 PSYCHO aWARD Winner: Eagles Punt Returners

The weekly PSYCHO aWARD goes to the players, officials, or team that cause you to curse at the TV during the game and put you on the edge of insanity. There were several nominees for Week 1 from the Jets kick return team to the official who stole Todd Heap's tying TD, but the unanimous winner goes to the Philadelphia Eagles punt returners. The Eagles muffs cost almost everybody, except those living in Wisconsin, to lose their picks this week. You can read more at philly.com and relive the torture by watching the video highlights here.

Do you agree with this week's selection?

NFL Power Rankings Week 2

NFL Power Rankings for Week 2 of the 2007 Season

Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/power_rankings_2007_week2.htm

1. Patriots (1-0)
Will the Patriots be doing the Merriman "Lights Out" dance once again this year? It may be a lot harder this week for the Patriots without video of their opponent's defensive signals. The Patriots are still the undisputed choice right now for the Lombardi trophy and will be even better once Harrison and Seymour come back.

2. Colts (1-0)
The Colts made a powerful statement in their title defense against the Saints in Week 1. The defense has their hands full with Vince Young this week.

3. Chargers (1-0)
Grudge match of the year this week for the Chargers. This week's game has been circled on the Chargers calendar since the 2007 NFL schedule came out. This is Norv Turner's biggest game as a head coach.

4. Bears (0-1)
The Bears get their chance to bounce back this week against the Chiefs. The Bears did a fantastic job limiting LT last week and need to do the same this week against Larry Johnson. The Bears suffered 2 key season ending injuries to defensive starters Mike Brown and Dusty Dvoracek in Week 1.

5. Steelers (1-0)
The Steelers get an injured Buffalo team this week and then face three NFC West opponents. They could have the best record in the NFL come week 6.

6. Cowboys (1-0)
Jason Garrett's play calling picked apart the Giants defense, but it looks like Wade Phillips forgot to bring the defensive playbook with him from San Diego. Dallas may be a little overrated at the 6th spot.

7. Saints (0-1)
The Saints offense was kept in check against the Colts. Luckily for them, they get the Buccaneers this week. The Saints beat them 31-14 at Tampa last year.

8. Bengals (1-0)
Chad Johnson's hall of fame TD celebration was great entertainment. Watch Video

9. Broncos (1-0)
It looks like the Broncos motto this year will be "Just Win Ugly"

10. Ravens (0-1)
This team is simply getting too old. Already into week 2 with McNair & Lewis questionable.

11. Eagles (0-1)
Teams around the league are catching on to the McNabb to Westbrook screen passes. The Eagles will need someone on the receiving core to step up against a tough Redskins secondary this week.

12. Seahawks (1-0)
The Seahawks had the most bone crushing hits on defense this weekend.

13. Titans (1-0)
A very impressive week 1 road victory for the Titans. The Titans split the season series last year with the Colts with both games being decided by 3 points or less.

14. Jaguars (0-1)
Disappointing loss to start the Garrard era. The rushing yards given up by the Jags defense was a huge surprise last week.

15. Jets (0-1)
Tough to win when the opponent knows your defensive signals. However, that is no excuse for the 108 yard kickoff return.

16. Panthers (1-0)
Delhomme was sharp in his first game and Drew Carter established himself as the 2nd receiver on the Panthers.

17. 49ers (1-0)
The 49ers are definitely much improved on defense. The 49ers secondary limited Fitzgerald and Boldin to just 42 total receiving yards. The 49ers travel to St Louis this week.

18. Vikings (1-0)
Adrian Peterson is the real deal. The Vikings will win a lot of games using old style pound the football with the running game this year.

19. Packers (1-0)
The Packers are much improved on defense. However, the offense needs some new plays. The play with Brett Favre completing a pass for 20 yards while being spun around in a 360 and in the clutches of a defender isn't always going to work.

20. Rams (0-1)
The Greatest Show on Turf was supposed to be back. However, the loss of Orlando Pace for the season is a huge downer for the Rams.

21. Texans (1-0)
The Texans seem to be headed in the right direction. A tough road game against the Panthers will be a good challenge for the Texans this week.

22. Redskins (1-0)
Last time Washington won on Monday night was when Brunell hooked up twice with Santana Moss.

23. Dolphins (0-1)
Same old song and dance for the Dolphins. A banged up Dallas D may give the Dolphins offense some life this week.

24. Giants (0-1)
Tom Coughlin's is in a rough situation with a banged up Eli Manning and Jacobs lost for at least 3-5 weeks.

25. Lions (1-0)
The Lions defensive front was very dominant against the Raiders and the offense clicked. The Lions make the biggest leap this week simple because the 7 teams below them are not headed in the right direction.

26. Chiefs (0-1)
The Chiefs have yet to win a preseason or regular season game this year.

27. Bills (0-1)
Encouraging news came out on Tuesday about the condition of TE Kevin Everett. He was able to voluntarily move his arms and legs. The Bills have suffered a tough Week 1 and it doesn't get any easier with upcoming games against Pittsburgh, New England, Jets and Dallas.

28. Raiders (0-1)
Looks like Culpepper may get the nod this week as starting QB. Janikowski needs to work on drawing the ball instead of hitting fades.

29. Cardinals (0-1)
The crushing losses continue for the Cardinals in 2007. How long before Ken Whisenhunt has a Dennis Green breakdown?

30. Buccaneers (0-1)
Jeff Garcia deserves better. After the hit he took in the Seattle game, it looks like it may be a long season for the veteran QB. Carnell Williams may be out for Week 2.

31. Browns (0-1)
Make way for Brady Quinn, Frye is gone to Seattle. I'd guess Quinn gets his chance following the bye week against St Louis.

32 Falcons (0-1)
Matt Schaub must be very happy that he is not in Atlanta right now.

NFL Week 2 - Who to Start

Here is a list of players who I think will produce the maximum amount of points at their position for the upcoming week. The complete article and scoring system can be found at - http://www.pylonpicks.com/whotostart/whotostartweek2.htm

QB - Carson Palmer

Big Ben threw for 4 TD's last week against the Browns. Palmer should put up equal numbers this week.

RB - Brian Westbrook

Westbrook is such a focal point for the Eagles offense; it is hard not to start him this week against the Redskins. We may even see him back there returning punts which could lead us to a bonus TD.

WR - Donald Driver

The Cowboys wide receivers torched the Giants secondary last week for 4 touchdowns. Driver is Favre's best weapon. I'm predicting at least one 50 yard TD reception for Driver in this game.

TE - Daniel Graham

I'm looking for Cutler to find his TE for at least one TD when the Broncos frequently visit the red zone this week.

K - Olindo Mare

The Saints offense is too good to be held in check for 2 weeks in a row.

D - Jacksonville Jaguars

I had great success last week picking the Vikings against the Falcons. This week should be no different for the Jaguars. Not to mention, the Jaguars will be angry coming off a home loss to the Titans.

NFL Power Rankings Week 1

NFL Power Rankings for Week 1 of the 2007 Season
Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/powerranking/power_rankings_2007_week1.htm

1. Patriots (12-4)
Tom Brady can do no wrong on or off the football field. Asante Samuel has signed. The Patriots have a new and solid receiving core, plus some draft picks that will have an immediate impact this season. The Patriots are an undisputed choice right now for the Lombardi trophy.

2. Colts (12-4)
The pressure of getting past the Patriots and winning the big one are off of Peyton Manning's shoulders. The big question again this year for the Colts will be their defense.

3. Bears (13-3)
The Bears are hungry to get back to the Super Bowl. If Grossman can limit the turnovers and be consistent, the Bears should repeat as NFC champions. Watch for Hester on offense this year, he should be exciting.

4. Chargers (14-2)
Wow, Norv Turner gets another chance. I bet he can't wait to play the Raiders. Look for Vincent Jackson to take some load off of L.T.

5. Saints (10-6)
The Cinderella season is over for the Saints, expectations are much higher this year.

6. Ravens (13-3)
The Ravens addition of Willis McGahee should help the running game but the loss of Adalius Thomas to the Patriots will weaken their defense

7. Steelers (8-8)
The Steelers finished the 2006 season winning 4 out of 5 games. Can first year coach Mike Tomlin keep the momentum going.

8. Cowboys (9-7)
T.O. seems way too relaxed this year. Wade Philips should improve the Big D. With Jason Garrett calling the plays, can the Cowboys return to the early 1990's form on offense?

9. Eagles (10-6)
Can McNabb and Westbrook stay healthy the entire year? If so, the Eagles will be ranked higher by year end.

10. Jaguars (8-8)
With Leftwich gone, it Garrard's offense now. He is a younger prototype of Steve McNair. Jags still have the best defensive tackles in the game. If the Jags don't improve on an 8-8 season, Jack Del Rio will be on the hot seat.

11. Bengals (8-8)
Keep the off-the-field incidents down to a minimum and the Bengals should have a decent year. They did not pick up anyone in the off season to help their struggling defense.

12. Broncos (9-7)
The rotation as RB continues as Travis Henry is now plugged into the Broncos backfield. It is going to be difficult to pass against the Champ Bailey and Dre Bly combination. Cutler, in second NFL season, gets a chance to prove himself.

13. Jets (10-6)
Once again Eric Mangini and his coaching staff will need to be efficient and make the best out of the talent on his roster

14. Rams (8-8)
The Greatest Show on Turf is back. The Rams were already loaded on offense and added Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael. Stephen Jackson is expected to have another career year and Marc Bulger is very underrated as a QB.

15. Seahawks (9-7)
The Seahawks were fading last year. Their reign as the NFC West champion will most likely come to an end this year.

16. Titans (8-8)
Vince Young will need to carry the team on his shoulders once again.

17. Dolphins (6-10)
Third coaching staff in four years, a solid defense, a veteran QB but weak offensive line. The Dolphins however may surprise some people this year.

18. Giants (8-8)
With Tiki Barber gone, it is time for Eli Manning to make the big plays on offense.

19. 49ers (7-9)
The 49ers are an up and coming team. The 49ers made a lot of great off-season moves. The addition of WR Darrell Jackson should bolster their offense and Nate Clements will help a secondary that was nearly last in passing yards given up.

20. Panthers (8-8)
The biggest change this year could be at QB if Delhomme struggles. Steve Smith should be exciting to watch as usual. DeAngelo Williams may become the featured back.

21. Vikings (6-10)
Solid run defense and great offensive line, but Tarvaris Jackson? Kelly Holcomb is waiting in the wings.

22. Chiefs (9-7)
Derrick Johnson at LB looks promising. Larry Johnson will need to carry the ball more than 416 times this year for the Chiefs to have success.

23. Bills (7-9)
The Bills have a brutal first 5 weeks of the season (Denver, Pittsburgh, New England, Jets and Dallas). Lee Evans is projected to have a big year.

24. Packers (8-8)
Where is the running game going to come from this year? Aaron Rodgers probably can't wait to get his shot at QB.

25. Texans (6-10)
Matt Schaub finally gets his chance at QB with Mike Sherman as offensive coordinator. Mario Williams (#1 pick in 2006 over Reggie Bush in case you forgot already) needs to be more of an impact player this year.

26. Redskins (5-11)
The running game of Betts and Portis will need to keep the pressure off of Campbell.

27. Raiders (2-14)
Looks like Josh McCown may get the nod as starting QB over Culpepper. First year coach Lane Kiffin should be able to win more than 2 games this year.

28. Cardinals (5-11)
The Super Bowl is coming to Arizona this year, but the crowd will not be cheering for the Cardinals.

29. Buccaneers (4-12)
It's hard to count Jeff Garcia out. Look at the job he did for the Eagles last year.

30. Browns (4-12)
How soon will it be before we see Brady Quinn start?

31. Lions (3-13)
I hope the Lions aren't already scouting WR Early Doucet for their first round pick next year. The early loss of Kevin Jones will hurt the Lions running attack. Simply no defense either.

32. Falcons (7-9)
The Falcons are wishing they could take back the 2001 trade with the Chargers for Michael Vick.

NFL Week 1 - Who to Start

Here is a list of players who I think will produce the maximum amount of points at their position for the upcoming week. The complete article and scoring system can be found at - http://www.pylonpicks.com/whotostartweek1.htm

QB - Donovan McNabb

McNabb threw for 288 yards with 2 TD's and also rushed for 2 TD's in last year's game against the Packers. I look for more of the same this year with one more passing TD and one less rushing TD.

RB - Willie Parker

Last year Parker lit up the Browns for 223 yards and a TD. If I recall correctly, the Browns hold the record for giving up the most rushing yards in a game. We will see how much Mike Tomlin likes the running game this week.

WR - Marvin Harrison

You could pretty much choose Harrison every week as the top receiver which would make this article pointless, however against a very weak Saints pass defense, I have to go with Harrison. Torry Holt was a close 2nd.

TE - Vernon Davis

Arizona was one of the league's worst against the pass last year and I look for Davis to capitalize inside and outside of the red zone. Hopefully, the 49ers will rest Gore's sore hand by limiting his carries thus giving Davis more touches.

K - Robbie Gould

The strategy here is to find a team who will struggle in the red zone and have to settle for field goals. The Bears may very well be that team this week against the Chargers.

D - Minnesota Vikings

What? Not the Bears, Ravens or Chargers?? Yes, this may be a shocker to some but the match up for the Vikings defense is too good to be true. Without the threat of a Falcons passing attack and with the Vikings having such a great run defense, I'm not sure how the Falcons will score any points in this one.

NFL Free Picks Week 1

You can view all the experts picks for Week 1 of the 2007 NFL season at: http://www.pylonpicks.com/2007_week1.html

Special K's picks in BOLD

NO at Ind (-5.5)
Den at BUF (+3.5)
PIT at Cle (+4)
PHI at GB (+3)
Car at STL (PK)
Atl at MIN (-3)
NE at NYJ (+6)
MIA at Was (-3)
TEN at Jac (-6.5)
KC at Hou (-3)
Det at OAK (-2.5)
CHI at SD (-6)
TB at Sea (-6)
NYG at DAL (-5.5)
BAL at Cin (-3)
AZ at SF (-3)

NFL Bargain Bets: Week 1

Phi (-3) @ GB

Let's face it, when Donovan McNabb was healthy at the beginning of last season, he was lights out. He had 18 TD's in only 9 games, not to mention his 3 rushing TD's. In the third game last season in Philadelphia, the Eagles pummeled the Packers 31-9 when McNabb threw for two scores and ran for another two. What has changed? Not much. The game is in GB, but it certainly is not the type of weather within which Favre thrives. In last year's game, Favre did not throw any TD's, but did have two interceptions. Yes, the GB defense has improved. However, the offense has not shown much punch in the pre-season, especially on the ground with rookie Brandon Jackson toting the rock. This will be another game that Favre will be asked to win against a team that will be bringing the heat. And, once again he will be winging the ball into a fleet-footed Philly defense that should grab at least a couple of picks. This one's a gimme. They don't get much easier. I love week #1.

STL (Even) vs Car

It must be Christmas! The Rams at home against Carolina and not giving any points. Please! This must be a remnant of last year's game where, in Carolina, the Panthers destroyed the Rams 15-0 in week 11. That day the Panthers sacked Bulger 7 times and held the Rams to 80 net yards passing. But that was a lifetime ago. The Rams have since added more weapons to the arsenal (WR Drew Bennett and TE Randy McMichael), solidfied their offensive line, and turned over the play calling to the right guy (head coach Linehan fired himself as the play caller after this game). On the other hand, the Panthers are still undecided on their primary running back, are in the process of trying to move to a new zone blocking scheme, and have an aging QB and star receiver. In last year's game the Panthers rushed for over 200 yards and controlled time of possession by almost 2:1. The stars were aligned that day. Not this year!

Min (-3) vs Atl

This is an easy one to break down. Only one part of the offensive side of the ball will be successful in this game, and that is Minnesota's run game. With Steve Hutchinson and Bryant McKinnie both healthy and creating huge holes on the left side of the line, it does not matter whether the Vikings give the ball to Chester Taylor or Adrian Peterson. Hell, even I could make 5 yards a pop with those holes. Expect to see a Viking run game this year that is more reminiscent of the Chiefs the past couple of years, than what you are used to from Minnesota. As for the Falcons, they are in huge trouble. Last year's #1 running team has a new offense, new blocking scheme, new head coach, and a new QB that can't throw the ball. Oh, and they are playing a team that only gave up an avg. of 62 rushing yards a game last year. Michael Vick is not the only one that will be associated with "Bad News" this year . . . .

SLEEPER FANTASY DRAFT PICKS

It's the 8th or 9th round of your fantasy draft and you are looking for some players who have upside potential and have fallen under the radar. These draft picks are critical to your success of your season because you never know who will get injured or who will under perform. Here are some recommendations for drafting your backups.

QB - Matt Leinart (Arizona)
With one year of experience under his belt and in a division where most games will likely be shootouts, Leinart makes for a great backup if he hasn't already been chosen as a starter. He seems to be ranked just outside of the top 10 in most pre-draft rankings.

RB - Deuce McAllister (New Orleans)
Deuce had 10 TD's last season and I look for more of the same this year. Even though Deuce is sharing the load with Bush, New Orleans has plenty of offense to spread the touchdowns around.

WR - Vincent Jackson (San Diego)
Jackson, now in his second year, looks like the primary target for Philip Rivers in preseason. He has 8 receptions for 128 yards and 3 TD's so far in preseason. Most pre-draft rankings have Jackson as the 28th WR pick.

WR - Kevin Curtis (Philadelphia)
With Stallworth in New England, I would look for Curtis to step into Donte's position. He is a very good possession receiver and I look for him to get many touches in a heavy passing Philadelphia offense. Most pre-draft rankings have Curtis as the 31st WR pick.

TE - Bo Scaife (Tennessee)
Scaife was a teammate of Vince Young's at Texas so he is very familiar with the QB. With lack of WR depth on the Titans, Scaife will be a key red zone target this year. Scaife has already put up significant totals in preseason (10 catches for 123 yards and a TD)

K - Matt Stover (Baltimore)
Stover was tied for the most field goals made last year with Robbie Gould. He is very undervalued in most fantasy pre-rankings.

Article Source: http://www.pylonpicks.com/sleeperpicks.htm